Hello everyone,
It is with regret that I have to inform you that I will be unable to continue this blog for the foreseeable future. The start of the new year has brought with it massive changes in my personal life, including a change of location and the start of a new job.
Unfortunately, the time consuming nature of what is to come ensures that I will not be able to continue giving the time and effort required to fairly put my opinions out to the general public; and it would be wrong of me to do so for those who rely on them.
I can only thank everyone who has taken the time to follow this blog on here and via Twitter and make it a wholly enjoyable experience for 3 and a half months.
The breakdowns for results up until now were:
Month 1 - September 10th to October 9th 2012: 100 Tips, 21 winners, 1 each way place win
Month 2 - October 10th to November 8th 2012: 102 Tips, 36 winners, 6 each way place win
Month 3 - 9th November to December 12th 2012: 102 Tips, 32 winners
Month 4 - 9th December 2012 to January 2nd 2013: 70 Tips, 32 winners
Thank you once again for the time you have taken to read these posts and for any input on Twitter.
Good luck with your future bets!
The Horse Whisperer
Free online horse racing tipping service for the everyday punter covering all the big meetings, flat and national hunt.
Wednesday, 2 January 2013
Saturday, 29 December 2012
Friday, 28 December 2012
29th December 2012
Full previews to come
Leopardstown
13.30 Lord Windermere
14.00 Hurricane Fly 1/3 several
Newbury
13.35 Bury Parade 7/2 Sky Bet
14.10 Pete The Feat 11/4 Sky Bet, Stan James
14.45 Easter Day 4/1 Bet365, Paddy Power
15.15 Salubrious 3/1 Totesport, Betfred
15.50 My Tent Or Yours
Good luck!
The Horse Whisperer
Thursday, 27 December 2012
28th December 2012
The Winter Festival meeting at Kempton finished yesterday, and as always some big performances were witnessed on the way to Cheltenham. Simonsig, Darlan and Dynaste all significantly enhanced their reputations whilst Menorah and Sanctuaire also showed there's life left in their claims. Full updates as always to come on Cheltenham Watch 2013. The day also saw Jezki and Sizing Europe win in Ireland, and the Leopardstown meeting continues with 'The Clash Of The Titans: Take 2' as I'm dubbing it the focus today.
13.25 Leopardstown
The big three from the Hatton's Grace Hurdle renew rivalries, with Zaidpour, Voler La Vedette and MONKSLAND all in attendance. The former was a fair winner that day and chalked up respectable quotes for the World Hurdle in light of it at the time. He has already beaten Colm Murphy's mare over 3 miles and whilst she will have her supporters, she doesn't look the same animal this year and is again overlooked. However the step up to 3 miles is expected to suit the selection and bring about further improvement from the young gelding to reverse the form. He rates the value bet in the race, and although I'm not advising him each way, if you can get over 5/1 on the horse, it seems silly not to take it as it's hard to see him being out the top 3. So Young would have to reverse form with all 3 to land this and doesn't look likely to do that. The really intriguing entry is Weapon's Amnesty, returning from over 1000 days off the track, last seen winning the RSA Chase. He's clearly using this as an opener for a season back over fences, but it will be very interesting to see how he fares again to then determine what his potential targets are. He could be worth a place bet. 11/2 Paddy Power, Sky Bet
14.25 Leopardstown
A really cracking renewal of the Novices Chase and there are plenty in with a chance. Willie Mullins saddles two runners in a bid to finally land this prize, and both have claims. Aupcharlie made his successful debut over fences but Back In Focus has always been seen as his trainer's bigger hope in this division and beat a good yardstick in today's rival Lyreen Legend to confirm his promise. Of the two Mullins' horses he is the most favoured, but the field is full of chances and the Gigginstown pair can't be ignored. Tofino Bay may be the second string on jockey bookings, but he is the higher rated horse and enjoyed the step up to 3 miles to win last time out. However it would be almost impossible for the step up in trip today to not bring about improvement from DEDIGOUT. Hammered by Arvika Liegonniere the same day Monksland last raced, he gave his victor far too much room there and with a completely different race this time he is far more likely to succeed. Mount Benbulben also can't be easily dismissed with the step up again likely to enhance his chances. 7/2 Paddy Power, Bet365
15.00 Leopardstown
A truly epic race, with enough strength and depth to rival the King George. Obviously though the attentions come down to Flemenstar and SIR DES CHAMPS, but the other horses need a quick word also. China Rock is in good form according to his trainer, but faces a big task first time out. First Lieutenant will be more suited to today's 24 furlong trip than the Hennessey's extended 26 and is clearly a classy horse, but will hopefully merely be part of a way of demonstrating how the selection can get past Bobs Worth in March. Hidden Cyclone has only been beaten twice in his career, but that was against two of today's rivals including the selection who had to concede 5 pounds that day, and will struggle to reverse form. Pandorama was very well regarded a couple of seasons ago, winning this race on a good run of form, but hasn't been seen since coming 7th in the Gold Cup and is merely watched to see how he reappears. Midnight Chase is always fancied around Prestbury Park and may struggle here, but can act as a further way of comparing form to likely Gold Cup contenders and finally, whilst Tidal Bay is expected to run well, and really give the main two something to think about, they should have enough to beat him and I'm hoping the result becomes enough to convince Nicholls' to send him to the World Hurdle rather than the Gold Cup. This leaves us with the two at the head of the betting, and whilst Flemenstar was impressive when winning the John Durkan, there's no doubt in my mind that Sir Des Champs can return the form. It's not so much the step up to 3 miles that will hamper Flemenstar's chance, in fact I think he should get it easy enough, but rather he now faces a race fit rival, and the John Durkan will have been about getting Sir Des Champs ready for this race. He should be primed and ready to go and should lay down a big marker for the Gold Cup here. His connections also know this is arguably make or break for him and anything less than victory would be a blow to them. 3/1 Sky Bet, Blue Sq, Paddy Power, 888sport, William Hill
Good luck!
The Horse Whisperer
13.25 Leopardstown
The big three from the Hatton's Grace Hurdle renew rivalries, with Zaidpour, Voler La Vedette and MONKSLAND all in attendance. The former was a fair winner that day and chalked up respectable quotes for the World Hurdle in light of it at the time. He has already beaten Colm Murphy's mare over 3 miles and whilst she will have her supporters, she doesn't look the same animal this year and is again overlooked. However the step up to 3 miles is expected to suit the selection and bring about further improvement from the young gelding to reverse the form. He rates the value bet in the race, and although I'm not advising him each way, if you can get over 5/1 on the horse, it seems silly not to take it as it's hard to see him being out the top 3. So Young would have to reverse form with all 3 to land this and doesn't look likely to do that. The really intriguing entry is Weapon's Amnesty, returning from over 1000 days off the track, last seen winning the RSA Chase. He's clearly using this as an opener for a season back over fences, but it will be very interesting to see how he fares again to then determine what his potential targets are. He could be worth a place bet. 11/2 Paddy Power, Sky Bet
14.25 Leopardstown
A really cracking renewal of the Novices Chase and there are plenty in with a chance. Willie Mullins saddles two runners in a bid to finally land this prize, and both have claims. Aupcharlie made his successful debut over fences but Back In Focus has always been seen as his trainer's bigger hope in this division and beat a good yardstick in today's rival Lyreen Legend to confirm his promise. Of the two Mullins' horses he is the most favoured, but the field is full of chances and the Gigginstown pair can't be ignored. Tofino Bay may be the second string on jockey bookings, but he is the higher rated horse and enjoyed the step up to 3 miles to win last time out. However it would be almost impossible for the step up in trip today to not bring about improvement from DEDIGOUT. Hammered by Arvika Liegonniere the same day Monksland last raced, he gave his victor far too much room there and with a completely different race this time he is far more likely to succeed. Mount Benbulben also can't be easily dismissed with the step up again likely to enhance his chances. 7/2 Paddy Power, Bet365
15.00 Leopardstown
A truly epic race, with enough strength and depth to rival the King George. Obviously though the attentions come down to Flemenstar and SIR DES CHAMPS, but the other horses need a quick word also. China Rock is in good form according to his trainer, but faces a big task first time out. First Lieutenant will be more suited to today's 24 furlong trip than the Hennessey's extended 26 and is clearly a classy horse, but will hopefully merely be part of a way of demonstrating how the selection can get past Bobs Worth in March. Hidden Cyclone has only been beaten twice in his career, but that was against two of today's rivals including the selection who had to concede 5 pounds that day, and will struggle to reverse form. Pandorama was very well regarded a couple of seasons ago, winning this race on a good run of form, but hasn't been seen since coming 7th in the Gold Cup and is merely watched to see how he reappears. Midnight Chase is always fancied around Prestbury Park and may struggle here, but can act as a further way of comparing form to likely Gold Cup contenders and finally, whilst Tidal Bay is expected to run well, and really give the main two something to think about, they should have enough to beat him and I'm hoping the result becomes enough to convince Nicholls' to send him to the World Hurdle rather than the Gold Cup. This leaves us with the two at the head of the betting, and whilst Flemenstar was impressive when winning the John Durkan, there's no doubt in my mind that Sir Des Champs can return the form. It's not so much the step up to 3 miles that will hamper Flemenstar's chance, in fact I think he should get it easy enough, but rather he now faces a race fit rival, and the John Durkan will have been about getting Sir Des Champs ready for this race. He should be primed and ready to go and should lay down a big marker for the Gold Cup here. His connections also know this is arguably make or break for him and anything less than victory would be a blow to them. 3/1 Sky Bet, Blue Sq, Paddy Power, 888sport, William Hill
Good luck!
The Horse Whisperer
Wednesday, 26 December 2012
27th December 2012
12.55 Kempton
SIMONSIG looks unopposable in this field. 2/9 William Hill
14.05 Kempton
FOR NON STOP is the pick after bypassing the King George. Hunt Ball doesn't appeal on the ground and the selection is the most consistent. 9/4 Coral, Ladbrokes
14.40 Kempton
SANCTUAIRE deserves to be odds against and possibly has some questions to answer. Nicholls is slightly reserved about his chance but it would be a fall from grace if he was unable to win here. He should take this. 5/4 William Hill
13.25 Leopardstown
SIZING EUROPE again after bypassing the King George in preference of this he looks unopposable. 1/2 William Hill
14.00 Leopardstown
WAAHEB should make AP's trip to Ireland a profitable. He's been excited about this horse all season, and although up against some serious opposition today, he has the talent to be involved and leave his mark here. 11/4 Boylesports
Good luck!
The Horse Whisperer
SIMONSIG looks unopposable in this field. 2/9 William Hill
14.05 Kempton
FOR NON STOP is the pick after bypassing the King George. Hunt Ball doesn't appeal on the ground and the selection is the most consistent. 9/4 Coral, Ladbrokes
14.40 Kempton
SANCTUAIRE deserves to be odds against and possibly has some questions to answer. Nicholls is slightly reserved about his chance but it would be a fall from grace if he was unable to win here. He should take this. 5/4 William Hill
13.25 Leopardstown
SIZING EUROPE again after bypassing the King George in preference of this he looks unopposable. 1/2 William Hill
14.00 Leopardstown
WAAHEB should make AP's trip to Ireland a profitable. He's been excited about this horse all season, and although up against some serious opposition today, he has the talent to be involved and leave his mark here. 11/4 Boylesports
Good luck!
The Horse Whisperer
Monday, 24 December 2012
26th December 2012
Boxing Day is one of the highlights of the jumps season calendars, with several meetings on both sides of the Irish Sea. With the racing coming up and markets available with most bookmakers, here are the selections for the races that will eventually be previewed and found on here.
12.50 Kempton
A decent Novices' hurdle to open the card, it looks set to come down to one of the market principals with RIVER MAIGUE, New Year's Eve and Spirit Of Shankly the most likely winners. The selection is clearly held in high regard by his trainer, who felt he was talented enough to throw into a Grade 2 on his hurdling debut, and he didn't disappoint finishing only a length off Dodging Bullets. He is entitled to improve, and on that basis alone is hard to look past here. New Year's Eve was second in last year's Champion Bumper, and the form of that race is working out well. He would certainly be something special to win this first time out but a good run is expected with his trainer always respected. The final highlighted horse has been advised on a couple of occasions now but doesn't seem up to the task of beating the selection here. 5/4 Stan James, Paddy Power, Sky Bet
14.00 Kempton
It would have taken something truly special for this year's renewal of the Feltham to overshadow last year's event where Grands Crus, Silviniaco Conti, Bobs Worth & Teaforthree all ran; however the 2012 edition should hopefully help to further enhance the reputation of one extremely promising chaser in DYNASTE. Seen as a threat to Big Buck's last year before being comprehensively accounted for on a couple of occasions, he has flourished since switching to fences, already beating Fingal Bay and Unioniste in an impressive way at Cheltenham, the latter going on to land the December Gold Cup, before beating Court In Motion in an even better manner, who again went on to win. He is already rated 161 over fences, at least 16 pounds clear of his rivals in this race and he is unopposable. He rates a worthy favourite for the RSA and can be expected to enhance his claims for that race today. The only slight concern is about the soft ground as the last time he faced anything this soft he came up short at Ascot in the Lough Derg Long Walk Hurdle, but his early exertions in trying to get Big Buck's off the bridle may have caused that. Dynaste's opposition shouldn't be underestimated though and all have the scope to improve. Poungach in particular has drawn admirers as he begins to get to grips with the chasing division, whilst it can't be denied that Hadrian's Approach , Molotof, Theatre Guide and Third Intention are all decent novice chasing prospects. Lovcen finally makes the switch to fences after struggling off top weight in handicaps to break into the places, but he has been running well and will make an impact in this sphere; he would prefer firmer ground though. 4/7 Bet365, Totesport, Betfred, Paddy Power
14.35 Kempton
The Christmas Hurdle is trying its hardest to give the King George a run for its money in terms of quality with several of the top 2 milers on show. Last year's Supreme Novice winner Cinders And Ashes looks to make up for disappointing in the Fighting Fifth but it looks a big task for him. Despite winning several times in tough conditions last year, his trainer blamed the soft ground for his poor performance on his reappearance, and with conqueror that day Countrywide Flame renewing rivalries, and with the going still tough, there seems little reason to see him overturning the form today, even with the run under his belt. Countrywide Flame continues to go from strength to strength, and really should be the selection here. He is race fit, handles the going and has the ability to land this, but I'm taking a chance that DARLAN is as good as I hope and that he is a Champion Hurdler in the making. I was so taken by him at Aintree last season that he became my antepost bet for the main event in March there and then. His trainer has said before that Kempton will be as soft as he can probably handle, especially on his first run, and connections certainly won't be disappointed with a good run in defeat, but he undoubtedly has bags of talent and has always caught the eye. The race is not limited to these three either with Dodging Bullets another who has improved this season, and could have his form franked by River Maigue in the first. Eligible for the Supreme Novice this year on account of not winning last season, he has a bit to find to reverse form with his Triumph Hurdle conqueror, but does appeal more than Cinders And Ashes. The McManus second string Get Me Out Of Here on bare form looks a massive price but has shown a couple of times now that soft ground is not his friend and he may ultimately be here to assist Darlan. Raya Star is no pushover either and his performances warrant a crack at Grade 1 level. On ratings he is ahead of several of these, but the others are certainly open to vast improvement. Finally it's great to see Punjabi back on the racetrack after an extremely long break. It will be interesting to how far off his 2009 Champion Hurdle winning form he is. 4/1 Stan James
15.10 Kempton
One of the highlights of the National Hunt season, the King George this year in particular looks to have real strength and depth to it. Whilst Captain Chris, Champion Court, For Non Stop and Junior are all good horses in their own right, with the latter supplemented at a large cost into the race, they are respectfully overlooked because of the strength of the other horses. Grands Crus returns after flopping when favourite in the Paddy Power Gold Cup to the scene of his immense Feltham win, ran in a quicker time than Kauto Star's 5th King George later that day. Whilst breathing operations have reportedly helped many horses, this looks a huge ask on his first run since then and he is overlooked. I was a massive fan of the horse last year, and think he is a very dangerous opponent in this race, but I can't put my hand in my pocket just yet and back him until we see whether he's back to where he was this time last year. We then come to the real crux of the race, with Long Run currently favourite and likely to shorten in the market as we get nearer to post time. He has proven stamina and is of course a former winner of the race, and this all bodes well, but as much as this prediction may come back to haunt me, this race may just be the first time in his career that he finishes outside the places. I think he needs a real stamina test these days to have the edge over his opponents, and whilst the race is going to be no walk in the park, I don't think it will be beyond his rivals and when you add to that his sketchy jumping and I'm happy to take him on. For the value I'm also going to lay him for a place. Riverside Theatre, his stablemate, is consequently seen by many as the likely winner and again he has an impeccable record. The race has been his target for this season, kept fresh on purpose as he runs well after an absence and further assisted by Geraghty in the saddle. Whilst the horse is not a favourite of mine, it would be foolish to discount his chances and he must rate a big threat. The fact this is his season goal as well means he is going to be primed for it and he has to be one of the placed horses. He has form on soft ground but against inferior opposition, so that may just account for his chance to win. The Giant Bolster is another who has been working towards this target, but ultimately his goal will again be the Gold Cup. His normal partner Tom Scudamore rides Grands Crus, which means the Champ picks up a great spare ride and you can be sure he'll be doing all he can to ensure the horse wins. I have enormous respect for David Bridgwater and what he has done with The Giant Bolster, but I think he is very closely matched to Long Run these days and ultimately can see a few others finishing ahead of him as again he seems better on a sounder surface. That leaves us with Kauto Stone and CUE CARD to fill the top two. The former was really good when winning at Down Royal, beating First Lieutenant who has since gone on to finish third in the Hennessey. That's no mean feat and today's 3 mile trip in soft ground will certainly play to his strengths. He may have originally been seen as Nicholls' second string in this event, but he warrants respect and is a player here. I've seen many opinions who think he doesn't deserve to be mentioned in the same breath as some of his opposition, but there's plenty to like about him in principal, and his form gives him a line through to Bobs Worth who at the moment is a deserved Gold Cup favourite. However my pick is a slight chance on Cue Card. I say slight because whilst it is true he hasn't raced at 3 miles before, I'm not particularly concerned and feel this trip is well within his compass. His breeding oozes stamina, and ever since he came onto the scene his connections have always viewed and talked about him as a Gold Cup horse. Whilst I'm not sure if I'm on that bandwagon just yet, you don't speak in those terms if there's a doubt the horse would get 3 miles in soft at Kempton. His form also reads tremendously, getting as close as possible to Sprinter Sacre over what would arguably be an inadequate trip, coming within a short head of Bobs Worth when conceding 7 pounds, and a wonderful reappearance in the Haldon Gold Cup. He also has soft ground form and will be leading the race, which I always like to see in tough conditions. I think he will be hard to peg back and was always my worry in this race when I was on Al Ferof. 6/1 Bet365, Betvictor, William Hill
13.20 Leopardstown
There were doubts over Our Conor's participation in the race yesterday which would have made this a far easier task for BLOOD COTIL, but even if both line up, Willie Mullins' horse is taken to land this. Both figure prominently in the Triumph market and have been impressive, but the 3 pounds the selection receives may just prove decisive. 6/4 Totesport, Betfred
14.55 Leopardstown
The main race of the day from Ireland, a case could be made for all the runners but this looks set to be a head to head between ARVIKA LIGEONNIERE and Oscars Well. The pair have been ultra impressive since switching to fences, with the selection narrowly preferred for the way he hammered Dedigout. He made all that day, going clear early on and never getting pegged back and I expect similar tactics will be employed to great effect today. He clearly has the stamina for a strongly run 2 miles, and whilst Oscars Well is certainly capable of keeping up with him, his past form over hurdles suggests that if the race was run in this way, he wouldn't see it out as well as his opponent. It's also good to hear that usual partner Ruby Walsh rates him so highly that the only reason he's not on board is because of the King George at Kempton. As stated, Benefficient, Baily Green and Dylan Ross are all good horses themselves, but these two are deservedly being spoken about in terms of challenging for the Arkle and it's a mouthwatering race to watch. 5/6 Bet365, Totesport, Betfred, Stan James
12.35 Ffos Las
WHISPER has only had the one run under rules, but it was a very taking win over today's venue, beating Cheat The Cheater by 15 lengths who rates a decent enough yardstick this season so far to suggest if running to that level, the selection will be hard to pass. His trainer's attentions may be elsewhere today, but this race will surely have been highlighted as winnable and as long as he jumps soundly, should take all the beating. 8/13 Paddy Power, Coral
15.30 Ffos Las
Mortimers Cross held on well at Kelso 17 days ago to win over 4 miles, and it seems a big ask for him to follow up today after such a short time to recover. He has the help of his claimer, but so does course and distance winner Benheir and CARRUTHERS, who's jockey in particular has begun to make a name for himself with some very good performances on Petit Robin. His talent will be a big help to the Lord Oaksey bred horse who should be well ahead of these if in the mood today after under-performing in the Hennessey last time out. 5/1 Paddy Power
14.15 Wincanton
One of the strangest races of the season, containing 21 runners with 7 representing David Pipe. He's clearly trying to assess the looks of his stable for the handicap hurdle scene and the race is further complicated by the appearance of so many claimers. Ardlui will have plenty of support, with the step up in trip expected to suit and his third behind At Fishers Cross looking better since he ran. However it is hard to get away from some of the Pipe horses and THE PACKAGE and GOULANES stand out, with both advised. The former finished 4th in the Hennessey and races off a much lower mark today then he does over fences. Although stamina is his forte, it's going to be a slog at Wincanton today and he has to be considered. The latter relished the stamina test when winning at Cheltenham 39 days ago, and with his claimer taken into account, actually races off a lower mark than that performance. If you have to plump for one over the other, then at a push I'd choose The Package as he is the classier horse, but they both have an outstanding chance.
14.50 Wincanton
On ratings and form, this looks a good opportunity for ROLLING ACES to follow up on his Newbury win. He showed a really good desire to win that day and the form has only been franked since. He is hard to overlook. 10/11 Sportingbet
12.35 Limerick
This is one of the more speculative selections of the lower class races, but even still a chance is taken on BALLYNACREE to build on last year's promise. His time off the track is not a concern, but Umpact does look to have every chance as well, winning impressively a fortnight ago at Gowran and it should be a good race. 5/1 Stan James, Totesport, Betfred
13.40 Limerick
Another strong favourite who is difficult to overlook; MIKAEL D'HAGUENET finally got the luck he needed to get off the mark over fences at Punchestown and he should make easy enough work of this field. Far Away So Close raced in some tough company last season but doesn't seem to have progressed and the main threat should be Argocat, rated highly by connections and running close to Twinlight, who's form provides a good base to work from. He also receives 11 pounds from the selection which should help make this a close contest but the selection is definitely preferred. 4/9 Bet365, Paddy Power
12.25 Down Royal
SALSIFY and Tammys Hill renew rivalries from 3 weeks ago at Wexford and the former is expected to overturn the form with that run under his belt and likely to be much fitter for it. These hunters chases can often be tricky, but the selection won the main race for these horses at the Festival and certainly seems to retain the ability to say he has a big role to play in all these types of races this season. Viking Splash has on a couple of occasions run reasonably close to Salsify to suggest he is playing for place money again, with Crude, Not Before Eight and Slippers Percy others likely to be involved for third. 9/4 several
UPCOMING
Welsh National (now 5th January) Teaforthree 4/1 Bet365. Boylesports
Dial-a-bet Chase (27th December Leopardstown) Sizing Europe 1/2 Bet365, Paddy Power
Lexus Chase (28th December Leopardstown) Sir Des Champs 3/1 Bet365, Boylesports, Paddy Power, Stan James
Istabraq Hurdle (29th December Leopardstown) Hurricane Fly 1/3 Paddy Power
Good luck!
The Horse Whispererz
12.50 Kempton
A decent Novices' hurdle to open the card, it looks set to come down to one of the market principals with RIVER MAIGUE, New Year's Eve and Spirit Of Shankly the most likely winners. The selection is clearly held in high regard by his trainer, who felt he was talented enough to throw into a Grade 2 on his hurdling debut, and he didn't disappoint finishing only a length off Dodging Bullets. He is entitled to improve, and on that basis alone is hard to look past here. New Year's Eve was second in last year's Champion Bumper, and the form of that race is working out well. He would certainly be something special to win this first time out but a good run is expected with his trainer always respected. The final highlighted horse has been advised on a couple of occasions now but doesn't seem up to the task of beating the selection here. 5/4 Stan James, Paddy Power, Sky Bet
14.00 Kempton
It would have taken something truly special for this year's renewal of the Feltham to overshadow last year's event where Grands Crus, Silviniaco Conti, Bobs Worth & Teaforthree all ran; however the 2012 edition should hopefully help to further enhance the reputation of one extremely promising chaser in DYNASTE. Seen as a threat to Big Buck's last year before being comprehensively accounted for on a couple of occasions, he has flourished since switching to fences, already beating Fingal Bay and Unioniste in an impressive way at Cheltenham, the latter going on to land the December Gold Cup, before beating Court In Motion in an even better manner, who again went on to win. He is already rated 161 over fences, at least 16 pounds clear of his rivals in this race and he is unopposable. He rates a worthy favourite for the RSA and can be expected to enhance his claims for that race today. The only slight concern is about the soft ground as the last time he faced anything this soft he came up short at Ascot in the Lough Derg Long Walk Hurdle, but his early exertions in trying to get Big Buck's off the bridle may have caused that. Dynaste's opposition shouldn't be underestimated though and all have the scope to improve. Poungach in particular has drawn admirers as he begins to get to grips with the chasing division, whilst it can't be denied that Hadrian's Approach , Molotof, Theatre Guide and Third Intention are all decent novice chasing prospects. Lovcen finally makes the switch to fences after struggling off top weight in handicaps to break into the places, but he has been running well and will make an impact in this sphere; he would prefer firmer ground though. 4/7 Bet365, Totesport, Betfred, Paddy Power
14.35 Kempton
The Christmas Hurdle is trying its hardest to give the King George a run for its money in terms of quality with several of the top 2 milers on show. Last year's Supreme Novice winner Cinders And Ashes looks to make up for disappointing in the Fighting Fifth but it looks a big task for him. Despite winning several times in tough conditions last year, his trainer blamed the soft ground for his poor performance on his reappearance, and with conqueror that day Countrywide Flame renewing rivalries, and with the going still tough, there seems little reason to see him overturning the form today, even with the run under his belt. Countrywide Flame continues to go from strength to strength, and really should be the selection here. He is race fit, handles the going and has the ability to land this, but I'm taking a chance that DARLAN is as good as I hope and that he is a Champion Hurdler in the making. I was so taken by him at Aintree last season that he became my antepost bet for the main event in March there and then. His trainer has said before that Kempton will be as soft as he can probably handle, especially on his first run, and connections certainly won't be disappointed with a good run in defeat, but he undoubtedly has bags of talent and has always caught the eye. The race is not limited to these three either with Dodging Bullets another who has improved this season, and could have his form franked by River Maigue in the first. Eligible for the Supreme Novice this year on account of not winning last season, he has a bit to find to reverse form with his Triumph Hurdle conqueror, but does appeal more than Cinders And Ashes. The McManus second string Get Me Out Of Here on bare form looks a massive price but has shown a couple of times now that soft ground is not his friend and he may ultimately be here to assist Darlan. Raya Star is no pushover either and his performances warrant a crack at Grade 1 level. On ratings he is ahead of several of these, but the others are certainly open to vast improvement. Finally it's great to see Punjabi back on the racetrack after an extremely long break. It will be interesting to how far off his 2009 Champion Hurdle winning form he is. 4/1 Stan James
15.10 Kempton
One of the highlights of the National Hunt season, the King George this year in particular looks to have real strength and depth to it. Whilst Captain Chris, Champion Court, For Non Stop and Junior are all good horses in their own right, with the latter supplemented at a large cost into the race, they are respectfully overlooked because of the strength of the other horses. Grands Crus returns after flopping when favourite in the Paddy Power Gold Cup to the scene of his immense Feltham win, ran in a quicker time than Kauto Star's 5th King George later that day. Whilst breathing operations have reportedly helped many horses, this looks a huge ask on his first run since then and he is overlooked. I was a massive fan of the horse last year, and think he is a very dangerous opponent in this race, but I can't put my hand in my pocket just yet and back him until we see whether he's back to where he was this time last year. We then come to the real crux of the race, with Long Run currently favourite and likely to shorten in the market as we get nearer to post time. He has proven stamina and is of course a former winner of the race, and this all bodes well, but as much as this prediction may come back to haunt me, this race may just be the first time in his career that he finishes outside the places. I think he needs a real stamina test these days to have the edge over his opponents, and whilst the race is going to be no walk in the park, I don't think it will be beyond his rivals and when you add to that his sketchy jumping and I'm happy to take him on. For the value I'm also going to lay him for a place. Riverside Theatre, his stablemate, is consequently seen by many as the likely winner and again he has an impeccable record. The race has been his target for this season, kept fresh on purpose as he runs well after an absence and further assisted by Geraghty in the saddle. Whilst the horse is not a favourite of mine, it would be foolish to discount his chances and he must rate a big threat. The fact this is his season goal as well means he is going to be primed for it and he has to be one of the placed horses. He has form on soft ground but against inferior opposition, so that may just account for his chance to win. The Giant Bolster is another who has been working towards this target, but ultimately his goal will again be the Gold Cup. His normal partner Tom Scudamore rides Grands Crus, which means the Champ picks up a great spare ride and you can be sure he'll be doing all he can to ensure the horse wins. I have enormous respect for David Bridgwater and what he has done with The Giant Bolster, but I think he is very closely matched to Long Run these days and ultimately can see a few others finishing ahead of him as again he seems better on a sounder surface. That leaves us with Kauto Stone and CUE CARD to fill the top two. The former was really good when winning at Down Royal, beating First Lieutenant who has since gone on to finish third in the Hennessey. That's no mean feat and today's 3 mile trip in soft ground will certainly play to his strengths. He may have originally been seen as Nicholls' second string in this event, but he warrants respect and is a player here. I've seen many opinions who think he doesn't deserve to be mentioned in the same breath as some of his opposition, but there's plenty to like about him in principal, and his form gives him a line through to Bobs Worth who at the moment is a deserved Gold Cup favourite. However my pick is a slight chance on Cue Card. I say slight because whilst it is true he hasn't raced at 3 miles before, I'm not particularly concerned and feel this trip is well within his compass. His breeding oozes stamina, and ever since he came onto the scene his connections have always viewed and talked about him as a Gold Cup horse. Whilst I'm not sure if I'm on that bandwagon just yet, you don't speak in those terms if there's a doubt the horse would get 3 miles in soft at Kempton. His form also reads tremendously, getting as close as possible to Sprinter Sacre over what would arguably be an inadequate trip, coming within a short head of Bobs Worth when conceding 7 pounds, and a wonderful reappearance in the Haldon Gold Cup. He also has soft ground form and will be leading the race, which I always like to see in tough conditions. I think he will be hard to peg back and was always my worry in this race when I was on Al Ferof. 6/1 Bet365, Betvictor, William Hill
13.20 Leopardstown
There were doubts over Our Conor's participation in the race yesterday which would have made this a far easier task for BLOOD COTIL, but even if both line up, Willie Mullins' horse is taken to land this. Both figure prominently in the Triumph market and have been impressive, but the 3 pounds the selection receives may just prove decisive. 6/4 Totesport, Betfred
14.55 Leopardstown
The main race of the day from Ireland, a case could be made for all the runners but this looks set to be a head to head between ARVIKA LIGEONNIERE and Oscars Well. The pair have been ultra impressive since switching to fences, with the selection narrowly preferred for the way he hammered Dedigout. He made all that day, going clear early on and never getting pegged back and I expect similar tactics will be employed to great effect today. He clearly has the stamina for a strongly run 2 miles, and whilst Oscars Well is certainly capable of keeping up with him, his past form over hurdles suggests that if the race was run in this way, he wouldn't see it out as well as his opponent. It's also good to hear that usual partner Ruby Walsh rates him so highly that the only reason he's not on board is because of the King George at Kempton. As stated, Benefficient, Baily Green and Dylan Ross are all good horses themselves, but these two are deservedly being spoken about in terms of challenging for the Arkle and it's a mouthwatering race to watch. 5/6 Bet365, Totesport, Betfred, Stan James
12.35 Ffos Las
WHISPER has only had the one run under rules, but it was a very taking win over today's venue, beating Cheat The Cheater by 15 lengths who rates a decent enough yardstick this season so far to suggest if running to that level, the selection will be hard to pass. His trainer's attentions may be elsewhere today, but this race will surely have been highlighted as winnable and as long as he jumps soundly, should take all the beating. 8/13 Paddy Power, Coral
15.30 Ffos Las
Mortimers Cross held on well at Kelso 17 days ago to win over 4 miles, and it seems a big ask for him to follow up today after such a short time to recover. He has the help of his claimer, but so does course and distance winner Benheir and CARRUTHERS, who's jockey in particular has begun to make a name for himself with some very good performances on Petit Robin. His talent will be a big help to the Lord Oaksey bred horse who should be well ahead of these if in the mood today after under-performing in the Hennessey last time out. 5/1 Paddy Power
14.15 Wincanton
One of the strangest races of the season, containing 21 runners with 7 representing David Pipe. He's clearly trying to assess the looks of his stable for the handicap hurdle scene and the race is further complicated by the appearance of so many claimers. Ardlui will have plenty of support, with the step up in trip expected to suit and his third behind At Fishers Cross looking better since he ran. However it is hard to get away from some of the Pipe horses and THE PACKAGE and GOULANES stand out, with both advised. The former finished 4th in the Hennessey and races off a much lower mark today then he does over fences. Although stamina is his forte, it's going to be a slog at Wincanton today and he has to be considered. The latter relished the stamina test when winning at Cheltenham 39 days ago, and with his claimer taken into account, actually races off a lower mark than that performance. If you have to plump for one over the other, then at a push I'd choose The Package as he is the classier horse, but they both have an outstanding chance.
14.50 Wincanton
On ratings and form, this looks a good opportunity for ROLLING ACES to follow up on his Newbury win. He showed a really good desire to win that day and the form has only been franked since. He is hard to overlook. 10/11 Sportingbet
12.35 Limerick
This is one of the more speculative selections of the lower class races, but even still a chance is taken on BALLYNACREE to build on last year's promise. His time off the track is not a concern, but Umpact does look to have every chance as well, winning impressively a fortnight ago at Gowran and it should be a good race. 5/1 Stan James, Totesport, Betfred
13.40 Limerick
Another strong favourite who is difficult to overlook; MIKAEL D'HAGUENET finally got the luck he needed to get off the mark over fences at Punchestown and he should make easy enough work of this field. Far Away So Close raced in some tough company last season but doesn't seem to have progressed and the main threat should be Argocat, rated highly by connections and running close to Twinlight, who's form provides a good base to work from. He also receives 11 pounds from the selection which should help make this a close contest but the selection is definitely preferred. 4/9 Bet365, Paddy Power
12.25 Down Royal
SALSIFY and Tammys Hill renew rivalries from 3 weeks ago at Wexford and the former is expected to overturn the form with that run under his belt and likely to be much fitter for it. These hunters chases can often be tricky, but the selection won the main race for these horses at the Festival and certainly seems to retain the ability to say he has a big role to play in all these types of races this season. Viking Splash has on a couple of occasions run reasonably close to Salsify to suggest he is playing for place money again, with Crude, Not Before Eight and Slippers Percy others likely to be involved for third. 9/4 several
UPCOMING
Welsh National (now 5th January) Teaforthree 4/1 Bet365. Boylesports
Dial-a-bet Chase (27th December Leopardstown) Sizing Europe 1/2 Bet365, Paddy Power
Lexus Chase (28th December Leopardstown) Sir Des Champs 3/1 Bet365, Boylesports, Paddy Power, Stan James
Istabraq Hurdle (29th December Leopardstown) Hurricane Fly 1/3 Paddy Power
Good luck!
The Horse Whispererz
Saturday, 22 December 2012
23rd December 2012
Full credit needs to be given to Ascot and Haydock yesterday, who did all they could to ensure a great day's racing in tough conditions to bring an end to British racing before the Christmas period. The only meeting for us to look at today takes place at Thurles, and with no news of an inspection currently, the meeting should hopefully go ahead.
13.30 Thurles
Gigginstown are represented by three of the five runners in this race, all to different trainers, but MIDNIGHT GAME is clearly the first choice and this looks an easy enough encounter for the top rated horse in the race. He raced in some top class company last year without landing much and this lower grade should be well within his range, as shown by a comfotable win at Fairyhouse last time out. The closest rival on ratings and past performances is Joxer, who finished half a length behind the selection this time last year. Although in receipt of 10 pounds today, and even on that close result last year, Willie Mullins' charge should have enough class to take this. 8/15 Bet365
14.00 Thurles
A large affair but UNIKA LA RECONCE is taken to land a quickfire double for Mullins. Walsh has already stated how he is looking forward to the ride, who is the trainer's latest recruit from France. Bigger tasks than this are expected for the daughter of Robin Des Champs and this can be a successful Irish debut. Of the rest of the field Speckled Wood and Geraldine Gold look most likely to cause a problem for the selection. 10/11 several
14.30 Thurles
Another tricky encounter to work out, many will fancy Gortroe who was second last time out in a race where he had to concede a stone to the winner. Bowfinger returns to the track after a long time out but has some fair chase form in the past but may be susceptible to a younger type here, primarily CABALLO DE MARCUS, who can give his jockey a second victory for the day. Others to consider include The Procrastinator and War Correspondent.
Good luck!
The Horse Whisperer
13.30 Thurles
Gigginstown are represented by three of the five runners in this race, all to different trainers, but MIDNIGHT GAME is clearly the first choice and this looks an easy enough encounter for the top rated horse in the race. He raced in some top class company last year without landing much and this lower grade should be well within his range, as shown by a comfotable win at Fairyhouse last time out. The closest rival on ratings and past performances is Joxer, who finished half a length behind the selection this time last year. Although in receipt of 10 pounds today, and even on that close result last year, Willie Mullins' charge should have enough class to take this. 8/15 Bet365
14.00 Thurles
A large affair but UNIKA LA RECONCE is taken to land a quickfire double for Mullins. Walsh has already stated how he is looking forward to the ride, who is the trainer's latest recruit from France. Bigger tasks than this are expected for the daughter of Robin Des Champs and this can be a successful Irish debut. Of the rest of the field Speckled Wood and Geraldine Gold look most likely to cause a problem for the selection. 10/11 several
14.30 Thurles
Another tricky encounter to work out, many will fancy Gortroe who was second last time out in a race where he had to concede a stone to the winner. Bowfinger returns to the track after a long time out but has some fair chase form in the past but may be susceptible to a younger type here, primarily CABALLO DE MARCUS, who can give his jockey a second victory for the day. Others to consider include The Procrastinator and War Correspondent.
Good luck!
The Horse Whisperer
Friday, 21 December 2012
22nd December 2012
Yesterday's racing certainly did not disappoint, with Simonsig and Puffin Billy laying down big Cheltenham markers for their respective races. It was hard not to be impressed with both, but a full run down will be available on Cheltenham Watch once the weekend is over. Moving on to today's cards and there is some really good action to get our teeth into. Haydock has a precautionary morning inspection, but at the moment the signs are very good and racing should be taking place there to compliment the great card at Ascot.
14.00 Ascot
The unfortunate absence of Big Buck's means this Grade 1 prize is wide open and someone will be hoping their horse can stake a claim for the World Hurdle prize in March. Smad Place seems the obvious starting point, coming third at Cheltenham last season before disappointing on his reappearance when favourite at Wetherby 49 days ago. He's been given plenty of time to rediscover his form, but in the testing conditions I will be looking to take him on. Paul Nicholls runs Prospect Wells in a bid to fill the void left by Big Buck's. He's been stepped up in trip after a season of being a reasonably high class two miler, and consequently is watched rather than backed on this outing. Reve De Sivola showed his staying qualities when second behind Big Buck's at Newbury, but instead TRUSTAN TIMES is taken to land the hattrick and follow up on his recent Fixed Brush Hurdle win. He has room for improvement and in this weak Grade 1 affair can take the step up from handicap company. His ability to stay is also undoubted and he should put up a good display here. 10/3 William Hill
14.35 Ascot
After his inteded reappearance in the Peterborough Chase was scrapped, there's little reason to oppose HEY BIG SPENDER, who was advised to win that day. Today's 3 mile trip and soft conditions will suit him more than that encounter would have and his good record fresh instills further confidence. It won't be an easy task though, with recent course winner Roberto Goldback and Hold On Julio involved after differeing fortunes in the Hennessey. The former fell with much of the race left whilst the latter gets to race off a 2 pound lower mark after coming a reasonable fifth that day. Both should be involved but the selection is preferred for his proven performance in testing conditions. Ackertac returns to Ascot after winning last time out around the Berkshire venue, but this trip may just be beyond him today. 9/2 William Hill
15.10 Ascot
The feature race of the day, as always with a competitive handicap many are in with a chance. Working down the racecard, Petit Robin looks to continue his resurgance over hurdles, and enjoys a handy 7 pound claimer, but others make more appeal today. Balder Success, a course and distance winner, is currently favourite and will have no problem with the going. Olofi, the recent Racing Post Hurdle winner, has to defy a career high mark to win today, and on top of that is worse off with some of his rivals today, primarily CASH AND GO who is chosen here. First choice by Geraghty, he is 4 pounds better off with Olofi today, he will have no problem dealing with the heavy going and this Grade 1 winner can take the big prize today. Of the rest Rattan, Ranjaan, It's A Gimme, Into Wain and Lyvius will all have their supporters, with the latter of those 5 most likely to get involved today. 8/1 Totesport, William Hill, Betfred
15.40 Ascot
ULCK DU LIN has to cope with a 10 pound rise for his win at Newbury three weeks ago, and although at the bottom of the weights that day, you got the feeling there was more to come from him and this mark should be well within his range. Vino Griego, Gus Macrae and My Brother Sylveste can all be given a chance, but the main threat may come from Majala who should find this easier than some of his recent encounters and looks a good each way bet. 7/4 Paddy Power, Betvictor, Bet365
13.10 Haydock
Of today's selections, this is one of the more tentative ones. The race seems to narrow down on bare form to She Ranks Me and DANCINGTILMIDNIGHT based on good runs by the pair at Newbury in separate races. The former was unfancied before using her stamina to account for her opposition, and today's step up in trip is therefore sure to suit. However in the selection she faces another who should relish the trip and should have no problem with conditions, and consequently in receipt of 5 pounds I just fancy Harry Fry's mare to take this. Although these two appeal most, Alder Mairi, Hannah Jacques and Scholastica arrive with winning form but the featured pair's class should shine through. 11/4 Bet 365, Paddy Power
13.45 Haydock
Donald McCain is always a huge supporter of northern meetings, and if he fails to land the spoils with She Ranks Me in the previous race, then HOLLOW TREE can certainly be given a favourite's chance in this encounter. We know how good this horse is from his form last year and this move into handicap company shouldn't prevent him from returning to the winners enclosure. He may have to carry top weight, but he is one of the best hurdlers in testing ground and I'm not sure many in this race should be as close as they are on official ratings to him today. Mwaleshi is the obvious contender, seeking a fourth win and coping with a huge 30 pounds rise in the weights last time to win at Wetherby easily. He's up another 13 pounds today and arguably may not have reached his ceiling yet, but against Hollow Tree this looks a big ask, even with his claimer on board. Bakbenscher disappointed last time out when fancied at Newbury and therefore has a bit to prove. 4/1William Hill, Paddy Power
14.15 Haydock
After taking a chance in the Betfair Chase, CANNINGTON BROOK was unable to win in handicap company at Chepstow, but back around his favourite track in ideal conditions he can follow up on last year's victory. Although rated 14 pounds higher than when he won this race last year, this mark is certainly within his reach, and if well there's little doubt he should be involved at the finish. Mumbles Head and Carrickboy race after trying their hand over Aintree's National fences. Of the two the former is preferred whilst Merry King is entitled to perform well after the form of his second behind Rolling Aces was franked earlier this week. 6/1 Paddy Power
Good luck!
The Horse Whisperer
14.00 Ascot
The unfortunate absence of Big Buck's means this Grade 1 prize is wide open and someone will be hoping their horse can stake a claim for the World Hurdle prize in March. Smad Place seems the obvious starting point, coming third at Cheltenham last season before disappointing on his reappearance when favourite at Wetherby 49 days ago. He's been given plenty of time to rediscover his form, but in the testing conditions I will be looking to take him on. Paul Nicholls runs Prospect Wells in a bid to fill the void left by Big Buck's. He's been stepped up in trip after a season of being a reasonably high class two miler, and consequently is watched rather than backed on this outing. Reve De Sivola showed his staying qualities when second behind Big Buck's at Newbury, but instead TRUSTAN TIMES is taken to land the hattrick and follow up on his recent Fixed Brush Hurdle win. He has room for improvement and in this weak Grade 1 affair can take the step up from handicap company. His ability to stay is also undoubted and he should put up a good display here. 10/3 William Hill
14.35 Ascot
After his inteded reappearance in the Peterborough Chase was scrapped, there's little reason to oppose HEY BIG SPENDER, who was advised to win that day. Today's 3 mile trip and soft conditions will suit him more than that encounter would have and his good record fresh instills further confidence. It won't be an easy task though, with recent course winner Roberto Goldback and Hold On Julio involved after differeing fortunes in the Hennessey. The former fell with much of the race left whilst the latter gets to race off a 2 pound lower mark after coming a reasonable fifth that day. Both should be involved but the selection is preferred for his proven performance in testing conditions. Ackertac returns to Ascot after winning last time out around the Berkshire venue, but this trip may just be beyond him today. 9/2 William Hill
15.10 Ascot
The feature race of the day, as always with a competitive handicap many are in with a chance. Working down the racecard, Petit Robin looks to continue his resurgance over hurdles, and enjoys a handy 7 pound claimer, but others make more appeal today. Balder Success, a course and distance winner, is currently favourite and will have no problem with the going. Olofi, the recent Racing Post Hurdle winner, has to defy a career high mark to win today, and on top of that is worse off with some of his rivals today, primarily CASH AND GO who is chosen here. First choice by Geraghty, he is 4 pounds better off with Olofi today, he will have no problem dealing with the heavy going and this Grade 1 winner can take the big prize today. Of the rest Rattan, Ranjaan, It's A Gimme, Into Wain and Lyvius will all have their supporters, with the latter of those 5 most likely to get involved today. 8/1 Totesport, William Hill, Betfred
15.40 Ascot
ULCK DU LIN has to cope with a 10 pound rise for his win at Newbury three weeks ago, and although at the bottom of the weights that day, you got the feeling there was more to come from him and this mark should be well within his range. Vino Griego, Gus Macrae and My Brother Sylveste can all be given a chance, but the main threat may come from Majala who should find this easier than some of his recent encounters and looks a good each way bet. 7/4 Paddy Power, Betvictor, Bet365
13.10 Haydock
Of today's selections, this is one of the more tentative ones. The race seems to narrow down on bare form to She Ranks Me and DANCINGTILMIDNIGHT based on good runs by the pair at Newbury in separate races. The former was unfancied before using her stamina to account for her opposition, and today's step up in trip is therefore sure to suit. However in the selection she faces another who should relish the trip and should have no problem with conditions, and consequently in receipt of 5 pounds I just fancy Harry Fry's mare to take this. Although these two appeal most, Alder Mairi, Hannah Jacques and Scholastica arrive with winning form but the featured pair's class should shine through. 11/4 Bet 365, Paddy Power
13.45 Haydock
Donald McCain is always a huge supporter of northern meetings, and if he fails to land the spoils with She Ranks Me in the previous race, then HOLLOW TREE can certainly be given a favourite's chance in this encounter. We know how good this horse is from his form last year and this move into handicap company shouldn't prevent him from returning to the winners enclosure. He may have to carry top weight, but he is one of the best hurdlers in testing ground and I'm not sure many in this race should be as close as they are on official ratings to him today. Mwaleshi is the obvious contender, seeking a fourth win and coping with a huge 30 pounds rise in the weights last time to win at Wetherby easily. He's up another 13 pounds today and arguably may not have reached his ceiling yet, but against Hollow Tree this looks a big ask, even with his claimer on board. Bakbenscher disappointed last time out when fancied at Newbury and therefore has a bit to prove. 4/1William Hill, Paddy Power
14.15 Haydock
After taking a chance in the Betfair Chase, CANNINGTON BROOK was unable to win in handicap company at Chepstow, but back around his favourite track in ideal conditions he can follow up on last year's victory. Although rated 14 pounds higher than when he won this race last year, this mark is certainly within his reach, and if well there's little doubt he should be involved at the finish. Mumbles Head and Carrickboy race after trying their hand over Aintree's National fences. Of the two the former is preferred whilst Merry King is entitled to perform well after the form of his second behind Rolling Aces was franked earlier this week. 6/1 Paddy Power
Good luck!
The Horse Whisperer
Thursday, 20 December 2012
21st December 2012
Welcome again to The Horse Whisperer and with the Festive calendar really kicking off tomorrow, here are my selections for the upcoming big races, with the starred (*) horses the most fancied.
The Ladbroke - Cash And Go
Long Walk Hurdle - Trustan Times
King George - Cue Card*
Christmas Hurdle - Darlan
Racing Post Novice Chase - Arvika Ligeonniere*
Welsh National - Teaforthree*
Dial-a-bet Chase - Sizing Europe*
Lexus Chase - Sir Des Champs
Friday racing is centred around Ascot, with Simonsig's long awaited chasing debut the likely highlight of the day. There's no surprises with today's two selections.
13.55 Ascot
PUFFIN BILLY has to be one to follow for the foreseeable future. His trainer will soon run out of superlatives to describe him and he will surely extend his unbeaten sequence to four. Meganisi is probably the strongest opposition he has had to face yet though, and on bare times from their respective Newbury runs three weeks ago, should certainly have enough to give the selection something to think about. Up To Something looks set to take third. 8/15 several
14.30 Ascot
One of the most eagerly awaited chasing debuts of the season, it is again hard to see past the odds on favourite SIMONSIG. Last year's Neptune winner is antepost favourite for the Arkle, and whilst I think he is potentially vulnerable in March over the shorter 2 mile trip, today's 19 furlongs will be right up his street. It is also yet to be seen how he copes with ground as soft as he faces at Ascot, but he was in a different league to the rest of these over hurdles, is a former winning pointer and therefore it would take something monumental for him to be beaten. Dare Me is the forecast selection. 2/9 several
Good luck!
The Horse Whisperer
The Ladbroke - Cash And Go
Long Walk Hurdle - Trustan Times
King George - Cue Card*
Christmas Hurdle - Darlan
Racing Post Novice Chase - Arvika Ligeonniere*
Welsh National - Teaforthree*
Dial-a-bet Chase - Sizing Europe*
Lexus Chase - Sir Des Champs
Friday racing is centred around Ascot, with Simonsig's long awaited chasing debut the likely highlight of the day. There's no surprises with today's two selections.
13.55 Ascot
PUFFIN BILLY has to be one to follow for the foreseeable future. His trainer will soon run out of superlatives to describe him and he will surely extend his unbeaten sequence to four. Meganisi is probably the strongest opposition he has had to face yet though, and on bare times from their respective Newbury runs three weeks ago, should certainly have enough to give the selection something to think about. Up To Something looks set to take third. 8/15 several
14.30 Ascot
One of the most eagerly awaited chasing debuts of the season, it is again hard to see past the odds on favourite SIMONSIG. Last year's Neptune winner is antepost favourite for the Arkle, and whilst I think he is potentially vulnerable in March over the shorter 2 mile trip, today's 19 furlongs will be right up his street. It is also yet to be seen how he copes with ground as soft as he faces at Ascot, but he was in a different league to the rest of these over hurdles, is a former winning pointer and therefore it would take something monumental for him to be beaten. Dare Me is the forecast selection. 2/9 several
Good luck!
The Horse Whisperer
Wednesday, 19 December 2012
20th December 2012
The focus of tomorrow's racing has to be Exeter's rescheduled Peterborough Chase meeting. The fixture is looking to beat the weather though with an 8am inspection, but I'm hopeful of it proceeding and these are my two favoured selections.
13.20 Exeter
This should be third time lucky for DOMTALINE who has been very close to winning his two previous races when advised on here. His second to Kumbeshwar has been boosted since and he should have enough to see of Lidar. 7/4 Boylesports
13.50 Exeter
The main race, Wishfull Thinking is the current market leader but I fully expect him to be overturned. This is a much harder race than his recent confidence boosting win at Cheltenham but with the soft conditions I can see him outstaying Ghizao, who finished tamely enough at Ascot to suggest he is vulnerable here. Instead HEY BIG SPENDER is taken to make a winning reappearance here with the stamina test sure to suit. He should be finishing stronger than anything. In the race and he looks a great value bet. 5/1 Ladbrokes
Good luck!
The Horse Whisperer
13.20 Exeter
This should be third time lucky for DOMTALINE who has been very close to winning his two previous races when advised on here. His second to Kumbeshwar has been boosted since and he should have enough to see of Lidar. 7/4 Boylesports
13.50 Exeter
The main race, Wishfull Thinking is the current market leader but I fully expect him to be overturned. This is a much harder race than his recent confidence boosting win at Cheltenham but with the soft conditions I can see him outstaying Ghizao, who finished tamely enough at Ascot to suggest he is vulnerable here. Instead HEY BIG SPENDER is taken to make a winning reappearance here with the stamina test sure to suit. He should be finishing stronger than anything. In the race and he looks a great value bet. 5/1 Ladbrokes
Good luck!
The Horse Whisperer
Tuesday, 18 December 2012
19th December 2012
With the recent decimation of my ante post bets for Cheltenham, the following horses have formed the make up of small accumulators for interest, with the starred horses the most favoured.
Zarkandar/Darlan (Champion Hurdle) *
Quevega (Mares Hurdle)
Rival D'Estruval (National Hunt Chase)
Dynaste (RSA Chase) *
Sprinter Sacre (Champion Chase) *
Tidal Bay (World Hurdle)
Far West (Triumph Hurdle) *
Coneygree (Albert Bartlett)
Bobs Worth/Sir Des Champs (Gold Cup) *
Onto today's racing and here are the best selections.
12.50 Newbury
Chartreux was able to capitalise on Fingal Bay's bizarre run last time out, and may have some improvement in him as he was rated higher over hurdles. However he showed little before that day to be considered seriously over fences and others are far more attractive here. Honest John arrives in good form seeking the hattrick, and the 5 pound rise he faces is certainly within his range, but off the same mark as a good third a fortnight ago, HANDY ANDY makes most appeal. His mark of 115 seems to be about right based on past form, but this step up in trip could be what brings about an improvement. He's often been outpaced in his races, and after staying on again at the course last time, today's trip could just be what he needs. His form on soft ground isn't great but I'll excuse the runs as one was over 2 miles and the other was after a long lay off. His form around Newbury also reads 311 which only helps his cause further. 4/1 Ladbrokes, Betvictor, Bet365
14.25 Newbury
Rose Of The Moon is another seeking a hattrick, and has had a pretty easy time in getting into the position, but the opposition he faces today is much stiffer. Restless Harry returns to 3 miles and certainly has the class if performing like the horse of old to take this. He receives 7 pounds from Rose Of The Moon, and has only 3 chase runs to his name, but hasn't set the world alight in any of those and is overlooked. Instead TULLAMORE DEW is given a chance to show why he's been campaigned in much better opposition. He's been one of those easy names to cross off in past races at Aintree and Cheltenham, but there must be some talent there and this looks a chance to secure a long awaited win with Denis O'Regan is in the saddle hoping to follow up on winning the race last year. 4/1 several
Good luck!
The Horse Whisperer
Zarkandar/Darlan (Champion Hurdle) *
Quevega (Mares Hurdle)
Rival D'Estruval (National Hunt Chase)
Dynaste (RSA Chase) *
Sprinter Sacre (Champion Chase) *
Tidal Bay (World Hurdle)
Far West (Triumph Hurdle) *
Coneygree (Albert Bartlett)
Bobs Worth/Sir Des Champs (Gold Cup) *
Onto today's racing and here are the best selections.
12.50 Newbury
Chartreux was able to capitalise on Fingal Bay's bizarre run last time out, and may have some improvement in him as he was rated higher over hurdles. However he showed little before that day to be considered seriously over fences and others are far more attractive here. Honest John arrives in good form seeking the hattrick, and the 5 pound rise he faces is certainly within his range, but off the same mark as a good third a fortnight ago, HANDY ANDY makes most appeal. His mark of 115 seems to be about right based on past form, but this step up in trip could be what brings about an improvement. He's often been outpaced in his races, and after staying on again at the course last time, today's trip could just be what he needs. His form on soft ground isn't great but I'll excuse the runs as one was over 2 miles and the other was after a long lay off. His form around Newbury also reads 311 which only helps his cause further. 4/1 Ladbrokes, Betvictor, Bet365
14.25 Newbury
Rose Of The Moon is another seeking a hattrick, and has had a pretty easy time in getting into the position, but the opposition he faces today is much stiffer. Restless Harry returns to 3 miles and certainly has the class if performing like the horse of old to take this. He receives 7 pounds from Rose Of The Moon, and has only 3 chase runs to his name, but hasn't set the world alight in any of those and is overlooked. Instead TULLAMORE DEW is given a chance to show why he's been campaigned in much better opposition. He's been one of those easy names to cross off in past races at Aintree and Cheltenham, but there must be some talent there and this looks a chance to secure a long awaited win with Denis O'Regan is in the saddle hoping to follow up on winning the race last year. 4/1 several
Good luck!
The Horse Whisperer
18th December 2012
Apologies for the previous few days where I've not been able to get full race previews out. In anticipation of tomorrow as well I am off on holiday but will still be providing posts from abroad over the busy Christmas period. They may however be up at unusual times.
The weekend was a positive one in terms of racing results, and as always Cheltenham Watch 2013 will be updated, but the news of Big Buck's and Al Ferof's injuries has managed to completely dampen my mood. As many of you will know, the former is my favourite and the crux of my antepost Cheltenham betting and the latter was my King George pick. For 4 years I've journeyed to Cheltenham to watch Big Buck's on the Thursday and it's such a shame I won't be able to so this year. Thankfully the two have not suffered life threatening injuries, and there does seem hope that they will return next season. Until we hear otherwise, then my sympathy goes out to those whose bets have also been ruined!
Here's a selection for today.
13.00 Folkestone
A couple of names stand out here, but arguably because they have to bounce back from poor performances. Godsmejudge and BARLOW both performed poorly last time out, but the latter is expected to improve for a return to a sounder surface. Talkonthestreet hasn't seemed the same horse this year as last season so again is taken on. The rest of the field leaves little on form grounds to be desired and this should hopefully be an easy one for Warren Greatrex's horse. 11/4 Bet365, Coral
Good luck!
The Horse Whisperer
Apologies for the previous few days where I've not been able to get full race previews out. In anticipation of tomorrow as well I am off on holiday but will still be providing posts from abroad over the busy Christmas period. They may however be up at unusual times.
The weekend was a positive one in terms of racing results, and as always Cheltenham Watch 2013 will be updated, but the news of Big Buck's and Al Ferof's injuries has managed to completely dampen my mood. As many of you will know, the former is my favourite and the crux of my antepost Cheltenham betting and the latter was my King George pick. For 4 years I've journeyed to Cheltenham to watch Big Buck's on the Thursday and it's such a shame I won't be able to so this year. Thankfully the two have not suffered life threatening injuries, and there does seem hope that they will return next season. Until we hear otherwise, then my sympathy goes out to those whose bets have also been ruined!
Here's a selection for today.
13.00 Folkestone
A couple of names stand out here, but arguably because they have to bounce back from poor performances. Godsmejudge and BARLOW both performed poorly last time out, but the latter is expected to improve for a return to a sounder surface. Talkonthestreet hasn't seemed the same horse this year as last season so again is taken on. The rest of the field leaves little on form grounds to be desired and this should hopefully be an easy one for Warren Greatrex's horse. 11/4 Bet365, Coral
Good luck!
The Horse Whisperer
Monday, 17 December 2012
Saturday, 15 December 2012
Friday, 14 December 2012
15th December 2012
Tomorrow's horses: Cheltenham: Far West 1/3, Our Father 1/1, Coneygree 11/10, Nadiya De La Vega 10s/Cristal Bonus 5s, Zarkandar 5/4 (bet of the day), Oscar Whisky 1/5, Unoriginal but hopefully profitable
Doncaster: Sametegal 3/1
Lingfield: Court In Motion 5/4
Doncaster: Sametegal 3/1
Lingfield: Court In Motion 5/4
Thursday, 13 December 2012
14th December 2012
As an extra point, it seems very telling that MALT MASTER is ridden by AP in the 12.00 at Bangor before he makes his way to Cheltenham. 4/6 several
Yesterday was a successful day with both selections landing. We move onto the weekend racing and find ourselves focused on the home of National
Hunt racing and as ever there will be some big pointers for the Festival. In
particular we can assess the claims of some of the Champion Hurdle hopes
tomorrow, but before then we have a really competitive day’s racing today.
12.15 Cheltenham
The competitive nature of the day will be witnessed in this
first race where just over half of the 7 runner field can be given a decent
chance in this. Hildisvini has to carry a double penalty here and concede
weight to his rivals, and although running well when beating Well Regarded
twice, a couple of these look to be slightly smarter and he may find the extra
burden too much. Rebel Rebellion carries a penalty for winning at Exeter, and
his 10 and three quarter lengths 4th behind Captain Conan last time
was very honourable as he had to concede 4 pounds to one of the Arkle
favourites. However, Nicky Henderson does seem to have a very strong novice
chase department this season, and another of his charges, BROADBACKBOB looks
most likely to win here. He breezed to victory at Plumpton and could go on to
be the best of this group of chasers. He was rated the highest over hurdles and
has already shown that he can handle Cheltenham with a very good second behind
Batonnier in January. He’s always been
thought of as a chaser and can put in a claim for the Jewson today. Super Duty
is the other live hope in the race and comes out best at the weights for two
second placed efforts this season. The form has a solid look to it but I do
think the Henderson horse will progress past him. 11/8 William Hill, Bet365
12.45 Cheltenham
A typically open handicap, Simply Wings shouldn’t be discarded
at the head of affairs and can make his presence felt here. Valley View looks a
major threat, having travelled really well before emptying quickly at Carlisle.
Today’s shorter trip should be an advantage to him, and Maurice Linehan is a
good claimer to have on board. Upthemsteps can be expected to improve for his
reappearance behind Merry King, but I don’t have as much confidence in his
jockey and instead find BENE LAD the most attractive out the bunch. Today’s
race could be set up perfectly for him as I’m sure he’s going to be towards the
front to make this a testing race. He was involved before unseating the rider
last time out and Lucy Alexander renews the partnership today to make amends.
The Big Freeze is another who can be involved here. 12/1 Betvictor, Stan James
13.20 Cheltenham
If the last race was tough to determine then there’s no
respite here. However with the likely conditions, the winner looks most likely
to come from the shorlist of Falcarragh, Turn Over Sivola and OPEN DAY. The
former ran a good race last time at Cheltenham when conceding weight to
Ifandbutwhynot. You can argue the form has been franked and knocked since but
he is likely to run well again today off only a 3 pound higher mark. On a line
through Swampfire, Turn Over Sivola should therefore arguably be involved as
well, but until we see what he finds up the Cheltenham hill, as he has finished
weakly in the past, the selection will be Jonjo O’Neill’s horse. It’s hard to
remember this son of Oscar was rated as high as 135, and he took advantage of
his low mark of 112 last time out. He faces at 7 pound rise for that victory,
but with the help of his claimer doesn’t have to deal with the effects of it
and can enjoy a low race weight today. He should certainly be involved at the
finish if given a more prominent racing roll similar to his victory last time. 8/1 Stan James, Paddy Power
13.55 Cheltenham
This race breeds more confidence and it’s hard to look past
MIDNIGHT CHASE back at his favourite track. Although he has to concede weight
to all his rivals, he is definitely in a different class to these, as shown by
his promising seasonal reappearance at Wetherby where he conceded 5 pounds to
Silviniaco Conti and was beaten only 16 lengths by one of the Gold Cup antepost
players. He should have the beating of Planet Of Sound again on that
performance. Bradley has recently ran well around Prestbury Park, and is
entitled to finish close again, but he arguably faces for the first time a
superior rival who should be spot on for this and class should prevail.
Becauseicouldntsee has good course form but may need further to show his true
best efforts and Saint Are has yet to prove he’s suited by Cheltenham. Quartz
De Thaix arrives in really good form and Aidan Coleman is certainly not missing
the chance to ride him today. He returns to a near career high mark, so may
just have reached his ceiling again. 9/2 William Hill
14.30 Cheltenham
With the cross country track frozen in places at the time of
writing, please forgive me that this preview isn’t as full as the others. There
is warmer weather and rain expected though so hopefully the race should get
underway. Uncle Junior clearly sets the standard after cruising to victory in
the last cross country affair. However he had to concede only 3 pounds to
OUTLAW PETE that day and with the McManus horse’s claimer taken into account,
there is a full 26 pounds between the two today. That should certainly help to
narrow the gap and the Halley team will be hoping for compensation here after
quietly fancying their chances last time. Bostons Angel continues his career in this sphere, and if you’re not a fan of these races will see it as a fall
from grace for the former RSA winner. The stamina test may be just what he
needs though these days and if he takes to the varying fences, is a place bet
here. 7/1 Ladbrokes
15.05 Cheltenham
Another tricky handicap hurdle to decipher and First
Fandango returns to hurdling after a chase victory at Fakenham. His form around
Cheltenham though leaves little to be desired and some likely improvers further
down the racecard make far more appeal, namely Saint Roque, At Fishers Cross
and INISH ISLAND. All three should be suited by the step up in trip and the
former will have gone in plenty of notebooks after being brought down when
travelling best of all 28 days ago at the track. He also gets a very low race
weight today with Harry Derham on board, helping to negate the fact he races
from out of the handicap. At Fishers Cross ran on well when winning at Newbury
last time and has to cope with a 6 pound rise today. He is open to further
improvement and is a threat with the Champ on board; but I think it’s very
telling that Inish Island is sent over by Willie Mullins. He’s also the one out
of the trio that’s raced closest to today’s 3 mile trip and can make the
journey worthwhile. Of the rest, Sivola De Sivola will have his supporters and
first time blinkers can help today, but I’ve given him too many chances and
have looked elsewhere. 11/2 William Hill
15.40 Cheltenham
If Falcarragh runs well earlier in the day, then EDUARD’s
chances will be given a big boost. Although he has to carry a penalty, he
should have enough about him to come out on top here. Many will fancy Melodic
Rendezvous’ chances in receipt of 6 pounds and he is entitled to improve on his
second behind Mr Mole. He also of course has form behind Champagne Fever,
further enhanced by Mozoltov’s win yesterday, but I was really taken by Eduard’s
easy victory at Newcastle and think Cheltenham will suit him. Village Vic takes
a marked drop in trip after good efforts behind Coneygree and The New One. It’s
likely to be a stiff trip so should play to his strengths but it won’t be
surprising if he is outpaced at the crucial moment. 9/2 several
As an extra point, it seems very telling that MALT MASTER is ridden by AP in the 12.00 at Bangor before he makes his way to Cheltenham. 4/6 several
Good luck!
The Horse Whisperer
13th December 2012
Good morning all, apologies for the late post, but after yesterday's abandonments I wanted to make sure racing was underway.
13.50 Taunton
There are a few names in this race, with Carrigmorna King attempting to continue his successful switch to chasing after making all at Ludlow. He may not get such an easy chance to lead today, with Theatrical Star and CHANGING TIMES also usual front runners, but it is the latter whose form stands out in particular. Able to race off the same mark as when successful at Market Rasen last time, he also ran Molotof close over an inadequate distance and furthermore on his chasing debut ran Rival D'estruval close who has since won well at Kelso and will be going for the 4 miler at Cheltenham. He should have no problem with conditions today and can see this out well. Jump City and Rajdhani Express also warrant respect and this looks a good encounter. 10/3 Betvictor, Bet365
15.20 Taunton
Although the drop back in trip may not look to suit MARSHAL ZHUKOV on the bare face of it, the way he travelled well before finishing slowly at Ascot suggests that combined with the soft conditions, this could be an ideal trip for him. I feel there's definitely another win in him, and he should be able to cope with today's mark. The assistance of Joe Tizzard in the saddle as well, ahead of a claimer, should ensure he is handled well in this race, and he certainly has a turn of foot to cope with some more well known 2 milers. Ciceron has a course and distance win in soft conditions to his name, but it will have to be seen how he deals with his opening handicap mark, although he was rated higher over hurdles. Elenika's chances will be enhanced if Rajdhani Express wins the earlier race, and on ratings comes out best at the weights. He certainly can get involved. 5/2 several
Good luck!
The Horse Whisperer
Good morning all, apologies for the late post, but after yesterday's abandonments I wanted to make sure racing was underway.
13.50 Taunton
There are a few names in this race, with Carrigmorna King attempting to continue his successful switch to chasing after making all at Ludlow. He may not get such an easy chance to lead today, with Theatrical Star and CHANGING TIMES also usual front runners, but it is the latter whose form stands out in particular. Able to race off the same mark as when successful at Market Rasen last time, he also ran Molotof close over an inadequate distance and furthermore on his chasing debut ran Rival D'estruval close who has since won well at Kelso and will be going for the 4 miler at Cheltenham. He should have no problem with conditions today and can see this out well. Jump City and Rajdhani Express also warrant respect and this looks a good encounter. 10/3 Betvictor, Bet365
15.20 Taunton
Although the drop back in trip may not look to suit MARSHAL ZHUKOV on the bare face of it, the way he travelled well before finishing slowly at Ascot suggests that combined with the soft conditions, this could be an ideal trip for him. I feel there's definitely another win in him, and he should be able to cope with today's mark. The assistance of Joe Tizzard in the saddle as well, ahead of a claimer, should ensure he is handled well in this race, and he certainly has a turn of foot to cope with some more well known 2 milers. Ciceron has a course and distance win in soft conditions to his name, but it will have to be seen how he deals with his opening handicap mark, although he was rated higher over hurdles. Elenika's chances will be enhanced if Rajdhani Express wins the earlier race, and on ratings comes out best at the weights. He certainly can get involved. 5/2 several
Good luck!
The Horse Whisperer
Tuesday, 11 December 2012
12th December 2012
The chance bet didn't come of yesterday in Vexillum, but the winner was the other horse highlighted in the preview. Hopefully some of you saw it and preferred Whipcrackaway and were successful. Before we get onto today's racing, I'll just inform you of a 'Festive accumulator' I've got involved in.
Zarkandar - International Hurdle
Al Ferof - King George
Sir Des Champs - Lexus Chase
Teaforthree - Welsh National
Zarkandar is in a very tight race, with Grandouet and Rock On Ruby set to make their seasonal reappearances this weekend at Cheltenham. However he arrives race fit compared to his rivals and is hopefully going to lay a big marker down for Champion Hurdle success here. I really do rate him and think he's a frightening proposition.
Al Ferof has been my King George hope since the summer, so hearing positive signs from Paul Nicholls only helps to boost my belief in him. I think he's going to love Kempton and as always am happy to take on Long Run. The race is competitive but 3 miles on a flat track should be right up his street.
Sir Des Champs arguably has the toughest race, with John Durkan conqueror Flemenstar and a resurgent Tidal Bay to name but two likely opponents. However I'm hoping he will improve for the run and combined with the step up to 3 miles he should be able to reverse form with Peter Casey's Flemenstar. This will be a big indication that he is on track to Gold Cup success.
Teaforthree has been well fancied in both outings this season but I like to think I've been justified in taking him on as we know this has been his aim all along. His 6th in the Hennessey further went to show he is on track and he will be extremely hard to beat here.
Currently available with Paddy Power at prices of 11/8, 6/1, 10/3 and 11/2 respectively (I think they are the only bookmaker currently with odds on all 4 markets).
Back to today's racing and here are the best selections.
12.50 Hexham
Realt Mor sets a reasonable standard with a mark of 134 coming into this race. He had a close second behind Going Wrong before coming up short against Prosecco, trained and ridden by the same pair on today's likely victor TAP NIGHT. We backed Lucinda Russell's horse on his seasonal reappearance at Ayr where he conceded plenty of weight to come out on top in a hurdle. He's since been purchased by JP McManus and looks set to follow in the footsteps of Bold Sir Brian who won this last year (again trained by Russell and ridden by Buchanan). His race fitness should help him account for Alba King and Granville Island, whilst there is little appeal in the other runners.
14.40 Kempton
Another interesting beginner's chase, and it's another prior selection that is fancied here. MODULE was arguably the likeliest winner at Exeter 50 days ago before falling towards the end of the race. Given plenty of time to get over that, he is one of Tom George's better horses and this can be a nice victory for him today to get back on track to better things. Cantlow, another prior selection, has now put up good efforts in defeat behind Sire De Grugy and Hazy Tom, but could well be set to take the runners up berth again. Kings Lodge makes the switch to fences looking to get back into the winners enclosure. It seems a big ask though as he was rated inferior to the selection over hurdles. 15/8 Paddy Power
Good luck!
The Horse Whisperer
The chance bet didn't come of yesterday in Vexillum, but the winner was the other horse highlighted in the preview. Hopefully some of you saw it and preferred Whipcrackaway and were successful. Before we get onto today's racing, I'll just inform you of a 'Festive accumulator' I've got involved in.
Zarkandar - International Hurdle
Al Ferof - King George
Sir Des Champs - Lexus Chase
Teaforthree - Welsh National
Zarkandar is in a very tight race, with Grandouet and Rock On Ruby set to make their seasonal reappearances this weekend at Cheltenham. However he arrives race fit compared to his rivals and is hopefully going to lay a big marker down for Champion Hurdle success here. I really do rate him and think he's a frightening proposition.
Al Ferof has been my King George hope since the summer, so hearing positive signs from Paul Nicholls only helps to boost my belief in him. I think he's going to love Kempton and as always am happy to take on Long Run. The race is competitive but 3 miles on a flat track should be right up his street.
Sir Des Champs arguably has the toughest race, with John Durkan conqueror Flemenstar and a resurgent Tidal Bay to name but two likely opponents. However I'm hoping he will improve for the run and combined with the step up to 3 miles he should be able to reverse form with Peter Casey's Flemenstar. This will be a big indication that he is on track to Gold Cup success.
Teaforthree has been well fancied in both outings this season but I like to think I've been justified in taking him on as we know this has been his aim all along. His 6th in the Hennessey further went to show he is on track and he will be extremely hard to beat here.
Currently available with Paddy Power at prices of 11/8, 6/1, 10/3 and 11/2 respectively (I think they are the only bookmaker currently with odds on all 4 markets).
Back to today's racing and here are the best selections.
12.50 Hexham
Realt Mor sets a reasonable standard with a mark of 134 coming into this race. He had a close second behind Going Wrong before coming up short against Prosecco, trained and ridden by the same pair on today's likely victor TAP NIGHT. We backed Lucinda Russell's horse on his seasonal reappearance at Ayr where he conceded plenty of weight to come out on top in a hurdle. He's since been purchased by JP McManus and looks set to follow in the footsteps of Bold Sir Brian who won this last year (again trained by Russell and ridden by Buchanan). His race fitness should help him account for Alba King and Granville Island, whilst there is little appeal in the other runners.
14.40 Kempton
Another interesting beginner's chase, and it's another prior selection that is fancied here. MODULE was arguably the likeliest winner at Exeter 50 days ago before falling towards the end of the race. Given plenty of time to get over that, he is one of Tom George's better horses and this can be a nice victory for him today to get back on track to better things. Cantlow, another prior selection, has now put up good efforts in defeat behind Sire De Grugy and Hazy Tom, but could well be set to take the runners up berth again. Kings Lodge makes the switch to fences looking to get back into the winners enclosure. It seems a big ask though as he was rated inferior to the selection over hurdles. 15/8 Paddy Power
Good luck!
The Horse Whisperer
Monday, 10 December 2012
11th December 2012
I think we were a shade unlucky with Hazy Tom yesterday. There seemed only one winner going over the last and arguably he could have been pushed out a bit sooner to go for the line. Nevertheless we move onto today and again just the one selection to keep us ticking over.
12.40 Fontwell
Dovils Date is clear of these on ratings, and despite being well beaten by Far West last time out, that performance shouldn't be underrated as the victor is potentially very good. He should find this a lot easier today and rates a massive chance for the race, but there are a few concerns with him. Primarily he has to carry a penalty and we don't know quite how far ahead of these he is. His jumping also needs a bit of work (as many do at this stage) and he arguably wants faster ground. Whipcrackaway would seem the likeliest to win otherwise, looking to make amends for unseating his rider last time when looking set to win. However the debut of VEXILLUM has caught my eye, and with his trainer in fine form and becoming very good at placing his horses, he is worth a bet here. He also seems to handle softer ground and according to his trainer is a "natural" over hurdles, which could bring about the necessary improvement to bridge the gap with horses who were rated higher than him on the flat. 4/1 Stan James
Good luck!
The Horse Whisperer
I think we were a shade unlucky with Hazy Tom yesterday. There seemed only one winner going over the last and arguably he could have been pushed out a bit sooner to go for the line. Nevertheless we move onto today and again just the one selection to keep us ticking over.
12.40 Fontwell
Dovils Date is clear of these on ratings, and despite being well beaten by Far West last time out, that performance shouldn't be underrated as the victor is potentially very good. He should find this a lot easier today and rates a massive chance for the race, but there are a few concerns with him. Primarily he has to carry a penalty and we don't know quite how far ahead of these he is. His jumping also needs a bit of work (as many do at this stage) and he arguably wants faster ground. Whipcrackaway would seem the likeliest to win otherwise, looking to make amends for unseating his rider last time when looking set to win. However the debut of VEXILLUM has caught my eye, and with his trainer in fine form and becoming very good at placing his horses, he is worth a bet here. He also seems to handle softer ground and according to his trainer is a "natural" over hurdles, which could bring about the necessary improvement to bridge the gap with horses who were rated higher than him on the flat. 4/1 Stan James
Good luck!
The Horse Whisperer
Sunday, 9 December 2012
10th December 2012
Now that the dust has settled on the weekend's racing, we can really see that the Cheltenham markets are beginning to tingle. It's been a great season so far, and with the upcoming Festive period bringing together all the big names again it's a wonderful time to be a race fan. More clues for Cheltenham were discovered yesterday, and similar to Saturday's racing, please continue to follow Cheltenham Watch for updates. This weekend's racing should be fully analysed by the end of the day. This week builds up to the International Meeting at Cheltenham, where we look set to see Rock On Ruby and Grandouet clash in the feature race to name but two horses appearing. So as always, don't be saddened by some lower quality racing during the week. To keep us ticking over, here is a selection for today.
13.20 Musselburgh
HAZY TOM was disappointing when finishing 6th behind Creekside on their chasing debuts, but the firm ground was definitely against Charlie Longsdon's horse that day, and consequently with the cut in the ground at Musselburgh today, I can see the placings being revered. Hazy Tom is also helped by the fact the pair reoppose on better terms to the tune of 2 pounds. Swift Arrow could make an impact here but it's difficult to know what to make of his handicap mark. He was comprehensively beaten off 114, before scoring well off 112 so until we see which horse is involved in the race, he is too risky in my opinion. Of the rest it could be left to Civil Unrest to give the selection most to think about. 10/3 Betvictor
Good luck!
The Horse Whisperer
Now that the dust has settled on the weekend's racing, we can really see that the Cheltenham markets are beginning to tingle. It's been a great season so far, and with the upcoming Festive period bringing together all the big names again it's a wonderful time to be a race fan. More clues for Cheltenham were discovered yesterday, and similar to Saturday's racing, please continue to follow Cheltenham Watch for updates. This weekend's racing should be fully analysed by the end of the day. This week builds up to the International Meeting at Cheltenham, where we look set to see Rock On Ruby and Grandouet clash in the feature race to name but two horses appearing. So as always, don't be saddened by some lower quality racing during the week. To keep us ticking over, here is a selection for today.
13.20 Musselburgh
HAZY TOM was disappointing when finishing 6th behind Creekside on their chasing debuts, but the firm ground was definitely against Charlie Longsdon's horse that day, and consequently with the cut in the ground at Musselburgh today, I can see the placings being revered. Hazy Tom is also helped by the fact the pair reoppose on better terms to the tune of 2 pounds. Swift Arrow could make an impact here but it's difficult to know what to make of his handicap mark. He was comprehensively beaten off 114, before scoring well off 112 so until we see which horse is involved in the race, he is too risky in my opinion. Of the rest it could be left to Civil Unrest to give the selection most to think about. 10/3 Betvictor
Good luck!
The Horse Whisperer
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